The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2026 is 3.7 percent on November 2, up from 3.2 percent on October 29. After this morning’s releases from the US Census Bureau and the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcasts of fourth-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and fourth-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth increased from 2.7 percent and 9.0 percent, respectively, to 2.9 percent and 11.1 percent. 02-NOV-2026 12:04 PM ET