The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 3.7 percent on October 1, unchanged from September 30 after rounding. After this morningā€™s releases from the US Census Bureau and the Institute for Supply Management, an increase in the nowcast of third-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth from 20.7 percent to 21.4 percent was offset by a decrease in the nowcast of third-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth from 3.5 percent to 3.3. 01-OCT-2026 12:33 PM ET