The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 5.1 percent on September 17, unchanged from September 16 after rounding. After this morningā€™s housing starts release from the US Census Bureau, the nowcast of third-quarter real residential investment growth decreased from -4.3 percent to -4.7 percent. 17-SEP-2026 09:50 AM ET