The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 4.4 percent on September 10, down from 4.7 percent on September 3. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the National Association of Realtors, decreases in the nowcasts of third-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and third-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth from 3.8 percent and 20.8 percent, respectively, to 3.6 percent and 19.1 percent were partly offset by an increase in the nowcast of third-quarter real government expenditures growth from 0.9 percent to 1.3 percent. 10-SEP-2026 11:58 AM ET